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High demand for chips will provide record growth for Taiwan’s economy in 2021
The current year began with regular statements by automakers about the shortage of semiconductor components, a significant part of which are produced in Taiwanese factories. The Bureau of Statistics of Taiwan expects that the country’s GDP will grow by 4.64% at the end of the year, instead of the 3.83% predicted at the end of last year.
Image source: Bloomberg
According to Bloomberg, Taiwan’s exports in monetary terms by the end of the current year will grow by 9.58% instead of the 4.59% previously predicted. According to experts interviewed by Bloomberg, global GDP will grow by 5.4% this year, so the growth rates of Taiwan’s economy may seem moderate, but the island starts the reporting period from a high base, since its GDP grew well in 2021, although there was no positive trend typical for most countries.
It was the increased demand for semiconductor components produced in Taiwan that local statistics authorities called the main factor that prompted them to revise the forecast for GDP growth upward. Exports will rise for a similar reason, as the main customers for semiconductor components are located outside the island. Exports growth this year will be the largest since 20021, as expected by the Taiwanese authorities. Imports will also be increased by 9.77%. Taiwan’s foreign trade balance should reach $ 63.9 billion by the end of the year.
Such trends will further strengthen the national currency of Taiwan, which has already added about 7% against the US dollar over the past 12 months. The island’s successes in the fight against the spread of coronavirus infection COVID-19 contribute to the formation of favorable economic forecasts for Taiwan. Local authorities, following the example of foreign colleagues, had to block the work of enterprises and industries to a minimum extent. Now in Taiwan, there is an acute problem of vaccination of the population – the authorities cannot start it until June of this year, and therefore they fear that this may negatively affect the work of some industries related to business and tourist travel.